Fiji Meteorological Service

Alert Map

Forecast Conditions for Today Valid From 10.30am Till 07.30am

Town	Forecast	Min.	Max.
Ba	Occasional showers and few thunderstorms with isolated heavy falls.	24	32
Labasa	Occasional showers and few thunderstorms with isolated heavy falls.	21	33
Lautoka	Occasional showers and few thunderstorms with isolated heavy falls.	23	30
Nabouwalu	Occasional showers and few thunderstorms with isolated heavy falls.	25	31
Nadi	Occasional showers and few thunderstorms with isolated heavy falls.	24	32
Nausori	Some showers and isolated thunderstorms with heavy falls expected.	24	30
Navua	Some showers and isolated thunderstorms with heavy falls expected.	24	30
Rakiraki	Occasional showers and few thunderstorms with isolated heavy falls.	23	30
Rotuma	Occasional showers, heavy at times and few thunderstorms.	25	33
Savusavu	Occasional showers and few thunderstorms with isolated heavy falls.	24	30
Sigatoka	Occasional showers and few thunderstorms with isolated heavy falls.	24	30
Suva	Some showers and isolated thunderstorms with heavy falls expected.	23	29
Taveuni	Occasional showers and few thunderstorms with isolated heavy falls.	23	30
Tavua	Occasional showers and few thunderstorms with isolated heavy falls.	23	30

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*The Nadi - Tropical Cyclone Centre was officially designated by WMO in June 1995 as a Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre (RSMC) with activity specialization in tropical cyclones tasked to provide "first-level" information in tropical cyclones (ie, basic information covering the tropical cyclones' present and forecast position, movement and intensity) in the South-West Pacific Ocean. The Public and the international media are requested to note that the RSMC-Nadi-Tropical Cyclone Centre is the official source of reliable "first-level" information on tropical cyclones occurring in the South-West Pacific Ocean

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Tropical Cyclone Forecast Track Map RSMC Nadi Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP

Severe Tropical Cyclone Harold

Tropical Cyclone Warning Number 13 issued 0740 UTC Sunday 5 April 2020

Current and Past Cyclone Details

Forecast Cyclone Details
(at 24, 48 and 72 hours from issue)

	Current Location and Intensity Number
	Very Destructive Hurricane Force Winds
	Destructive Storm Force Winds
	Damaging Gale Force Winds
	Past Track and Movement
	Past Location and Intensity Number

	Forecast Location and Intensity Number
	Very Destructive Wind Boundary
	Destructive Wind Boundary
	Gale Force Wind Boundary
	Most Likely Future Track
	Range of Likely Tracks over 72 hours

The forecast path shown above is the Nadi's best estimate of the cyclone's future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks.

Name: Severe Tropical Cyclone Harold

Details:

	Time (UTC)	Intensity Category	Latitude (decimal deg.)	Longitude (decimal deg.)	Estimated Position Accuracy (km)
0hr	6 am April 5	4	15.7S	165.7E	65
+6hr	12 pm April 5	4	15.9S	165.9E	95
+12hr	6 pm April 5	4	16.1S	166.4E	120
+18hr	12 am April 6	4	16.2S	166.8E	150
+24hr	6 am April 6	4	16.5S	167.6E	175
+36hr	6 pm April 6	4	17.1S	169.6E	235
+48hr	6 am April 7	4	18.2S	172.3E	295
+60hr	6 pm April 7	3	19.6S	175.5E	385
+72hr	6 am April 8	3	21.2S	179.2E	470

Fiji time is UTC +12 hours.
For example, 0000 UTC Saturday is 1200 Saturday Fiji time.
For example, 1800 UTC Saturday is 0600 Sunday Fiji time.

Category Cyclone 1 has mean winds 34-47 knots with a central pressure greater than 985 hPa
Category Cyclone 2 has mean winds 48-63 knots with a central pressure 985-970 hPa
Category Cyclone 3 has mean winds 64-85 knots with a central pressure 970-945 hPa
Category Cyclone 4 has mean winds 86-107 knots with a central pressure 945-910 hPa
Category Cyclone 5 has mean winds greater than 107 knots with a central pressure less than 910 hPa

The next TC Threat Track Map is scheduled to be issued within six hours.

Tropical Cyclone Graphical Output RSMC Nadi Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

TROPICAL CYCLONE THREAT TRACK MAP

Severe Tropical Cyclone Harold Category 4

Tropical Cyclone Warning Number 13 issued 0749 UTC Sunday 5 April 2020

Note: the past cyclone track may be adjusted on the basis of later information. The forecast track is considered the most likely based on the information available at time of analysis, and there may be other possible future tracks.

		Warning: Gales or stronger within 24 hours				Very Destructive Hurricane Force Winds
		Alert: Gales or stronger within 24-48 hours				Destructive Storm Force Winds
						Damaging Gale Force Winds

For the 24 hr and 48 hr positions, the three radii represent the extent of Hurricane, Storm and Gale winds away from the centre.

Name:		Severe Tropical Cyclone Harold
Situation At:		0600 UTC Sunday 5 April 2020
Location:		15.7S, 165.7E
Recent Movement:		SE at 3 km/h

The next TC Threat Track Map is scheduled to be issued within six hours.