RSMC Nadi Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP

Tropical Cyclone EVAN

Tropical Cyclone Warning Number 49 issued 0233 UTC Wednesday 19 December 2012


Current and Past Cyclone Details Forecast Cyclone Details
(at 24, 48 and 72 hours from issue)
  Current Location and Intensity Number
  Very Destructive Hurricane Force Winds
  Destructive Storm Force Winds
  Damaging Gale Force Winds
  Past Track and Movement
  Past Location and Intensity Number
  Forecast Location and Intensity Number
  Very Destructive Wind Boundary
  Destructive Wind Boundary
  Gale Force Wind Boundary
  Most Likely Future Track
  Range of Likely Tracks over 72 hours

The forecast path shown above is the Nadi's best estimate of the cyclone's future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks.


Name:  Tropical Cyclone EVAN

Details:
  Time (UTC) Intensity Category Latitude
(decimal deg.)		 Longitude
(decimal deg.)		 Estimated Position
Accuracy (km)
0hr 12 am December 19 2 22.6S 177.8E 35
+6hr 6 am December 19 2 23.1S 177.8E 65
+12hr 12 pm December 19 2 23.6S 177.7E 95
+18hr 6 pm December 19 1 24.3S 177.6E 120
+24hr 12 am December 20 1 24.9S 177.5E 150
+36hr 12 pm December 20 1 26.4S 177.1E 210
+48hr 12 am December 21 tropical low 28.0S 176.7E 270
+60hr 12 pm December 21 tropical low 29.5S 176.4E 355
+72hr 12 am December 22 tropical low 31.0S 176.4E 445

Fiji time is UTC +12 hours.
For example, 0000 UTC Saturday is 1200 Saturday Fiji time.
For example, 1800 UTC Saturday is 0600 Sunday Fiji time.

Category Cyclone 1 has mean winds 34-47 knots with a central pressure greater than 985 hPa
Category Cyclone 2 has mean winds 48-63 knots with a central pressure 985-970 hPa
Category Cyclone 3 has mean winds 64-85 knots with a central pressure 970-945 hPa
Category Cyclone 4 has mean winds 86-107 knots with a central pressure 945-910 hPa
Category Cyclone 5 has mean winds greater than 107 knots with a central pressure less than 910 hPa


The next TC Forecast Track Map is scheduled to be issued within six hours.