TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS/ADVISORIES - UNIDENTIFIED CENTRES FIJI METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE 23:11 UTC, 16/07/2023 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Received WTPZ33 at 20:38 UTC, 16/07/23 from KNHC TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Calvin Advisory Number 21 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032023 1100 AM HST Sun Jul 16 2023 ...CALVIN MOVING WESTWARD TOWARD THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.1N 136.3W ABOUT 1260 MI...2025 KM E OF HILO HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Hawaii should monitor the progress of Calvin. A Tropical Storm Watch may be required for portions of the main Hawaiian Islands later today. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM HST [2100 UTC], the center of Tropical Storm Calvin was located near latitude 16.1 North, longitude 136.3 West. Calvin is moving toward the west near 16 mph [26 km/h], and this general motion is expected to continue during the next several days. On the forecast track, the center of Calvin will move into the central Pacific basin late tonight or early Monday and approach the Hawaiian Islands on Tuesday and early Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph [100 km/h] with higher gusts. Some additional weakening is forecast during the next few days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles [150 km] from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb [29.42 inches]. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Calvin can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP3 and WMO header WTPZ43 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/miatcdep3.shtml RAINFALL: Storm total rainfall amounts of 4-6 inches are possible along windward areas of the Big Island of Hawaii on Wednesday and Thursday, with lower amounts [1-3 inches] expected elsewhere in the state. This rainfall could lead to localized flash flooding and mudslides. SURF: Swells generated by Calvin are expected to begin reaching the Hawaiian Islands during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST. $$ Forecaster Reinhart Received WTPZ23 at 20:38 UTC, 16/07/23 from KNHC TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM CALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032023 2100 UTC SUN JUL 16 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...[TCM]. CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...[TCP]. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 136.3W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 90SE 90SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 136.3W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 135.5W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.5N 138.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.1N 142.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.5N 145.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 18.1N 149.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.7N 153.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 19.2N 157.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 20.0N 163.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 136.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART Received WTPZ33 at 15:43 UTC, 16/07/23 from KNHC TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Calvin Advisory Number 20...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032023 500 AM HST Sun Jul 16 2023 Corrected timing in the watches and warnings section ...CALVIN NOW A TROPICAL STORM... SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.0N 134.8W ABOUT 1355 MI...2185 KM E OF HILO HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Hawaii should monitor the progress of Calvin. A Tropical Storm Watch may be required for portions of the main Hawaiian Islands later today. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM HST [1500 UTC], the center of Tropical Storm Calvin was located near latitude 16.0 North, longitude 134.8 West. Calvin is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph [26 km/h]. A westward to west-northwestward motion at a similar or slightly faster forward speed is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Calvin will move into the central Pacific basin late tonight or early Monday morning and approach the Hawaiian Islands on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph [110 km/h] with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast to continue during the next few days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles [165 km] from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb [29.33 inches]. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Calvin can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP3 and WMO header WTPZ43 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/miatcdep3.shtml SURF: Swells generated by Calvin are expected to begin reaching the Hawaiian Islands during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST. $$ Forecaster Reinhart Received WTPZ33 at 14:54 UTC, 16/07/23 from KNHC TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Calvin Advisory Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032023 500 AM HST Sun Jul 16 2023 ...CALVIN NOW A TROPICAL STORM... SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.0N 134.8W ABOUT 1355 MI...2185 KM E OF HILO HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Hawaii should monitor the progress of Calvin. A Tropical Storm Watch may be required for portions of the main Hawaiian Islands late Sunday. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM HST [1500 UTC], the center of Tropical Storm Calvin was located near latitude 16.0 North, longitude 134.8 West. Calvin is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph [26 km/h]. A westward to west-northwestward motion at a similar or slightly faster forward speed is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Calvin will move into the central Pacific basin late tonight or early Monday morning and approach the Hawaiian Islands on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph [110 km/h] with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast to continue during the next few days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles [165 km] from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb [29.33 inches]. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Calvin can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP3 and WMO header WTPZ43 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/miatcdep3.shtml SURF: Swells generated by Calvin are expected to begin reaching the Hawaiian Islands during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST. $$ Forecaster Reinhart Received WTPZ23 at 14:53 UTC, 16/07/23 from KNHC TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM CALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032023 1500 UTC SUN JUL 16 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...[TCM]. CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...[TCP]. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 134.8W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 90SE 90SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 134.8W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 134.0W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.4N 137.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 17.0N 140.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.5N 144.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 17.9N 147.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.6N 151.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 19.2N 155.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 20.1N 161.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 134.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART Received WTPZ33 at 08:38 UTC, 16/07/23 from KNHC TCPEP3 BULLETIN Hurricane Calvin Advisory Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032023 1100 PM HST Sat Jul 15 2023 ...CALVIN WEAKENING TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.7N 133.4W ABOUT 1455 MI...2340 KM E OF HILO HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Hawaii should monitor the progress of Calvin. A Tropical Storm Watch may be required for portions of the main Hawaiian Islands late Sunday. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM HST [0900 UTC], the center of Hurricane Calvin was located near latitude 15.7 North, longitude 133.4 West. Calvin is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph [28 km/h] and this general motion is expected to continue during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Calvin will move into the central Pacific basin overnight Sunday into Monday morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph [130 km/h] with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast to continue the next several days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles [30 km] from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles [165 km]. The estimated minimum central pressure is 982 mb [29.00 inches]. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Calvin can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP3 and WMO header WTPZ43 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/miatcdep3.shtml SURF: Swells generated by Calvin are expected to begin reaching the Hawaiian Islands in a couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST. $$ Forecaster Kelly/Cangialosi Received WTPZ23 at 08:38 UTC, 16/07/23 from KNHC TCMEP3 HURRICANE CALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032023 0900 UTC SUN JUL 16 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...[TCM]. CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...[TCP]. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 133.4W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 5SE 5SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 90SE 90SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 133.4W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 132.6W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.2N 135.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.7N 139.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 20SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.2N 142.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.6N 146.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 18.2N 149.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.6N 153.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 10SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 19.9N 160.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 20.3N 166.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 133.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY/CANGIALOSI Received WTPZ33 at 02:37 UTC, 16/07/23 from KNHC TCPEP3 BULLETIN Hurricane Calvin Advisory Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032023 500 PM HST Sat Jul 15 2023 ...CALVIN MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER OPEN WATERS... ...EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN EARLY MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.4N 132.0W ABOUT 1530 MI...2460 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ABOUT 1550 MI...2490 KM E OF HILO HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Hawaii should monitor the progress of Calvin. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM HST [0300 UTC], the center of Hurricane Calvin was located near latitude 15.4 North, longitude 132.0 West. Calvin is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph [28 km/h], and this general motion at a similar or slightly faster forward speed is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Calvin is expected to move into the central Pacific hurricane basin on Monday morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph [155 km/h] with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast through early next week. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles [35 km] from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles [165 km]. The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb [28.80 inches]. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Calvin can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP3 and WMO header WTPZ43 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/miatcdep3.shtml SURF: Swells generated by Calvin are expected to begin reaching the Hawaiian Islands early next week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST. $$ Forecaster Beven Received WTPZ23 at 02:37 UTC, 16/07/23 from KNHC TCMEP3 HURRICANE CALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032023 0300 UTC SUN JUL 16 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...[TCM]. CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...[TCP]. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 132.0W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 80SE 70SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 120SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 132.0W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 131.2W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.0N 134.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.6N 137.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 17.1N 140.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.4N 144.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 17.9N 148.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.4N 151.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 19.5N 158.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 20.5N 165.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 132.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN