Lead Forecaster's Guidance Notes - at 8:28am on Monday the 17th of July 2023 250HPA: An upper level trough axis lies over the group. 500HPA: A northwest wind flow prevails over the group at this level. 850HPA: A southeast wind flow prevails over the group at this level. Surface/Guidance: A fresh to strong southeast wind flow prevails over the group at the surface. TROPICAL WAVE ACTIVITY OUTLOOK: [Winter months - No influence of Tropical Waves expected] MJO- No influence. KW- No significant signals identified. ERW - No significant signals identified. MRG - No significant signals identified. SITUATION / POLICY: A high pressure system to the far southwest of Fiji directs a fresh to strong southeast wind flow over the group. Forecast to midnight tomorrow: Fresh to strong southeast winds with speeds of 40 to 50km/hr and gusts upto 60km/hr over Yasawa and Mamanuca group, Ra-Rakiraki, Sigatoka-Korolevu, Coastal Serua-Namosi, Taveuni-Qamea and nearby smaller islands, Bua, eastern Macuata, Cikobia-Qelelevu, Cakaudrove, Kadavu, Beqa-Vatulele, Lau and Lomaiviti groups. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh southeast winds, gusty at times. Rough to very rough seas. Cloudy periods with some showers over the Serua-Namosi, Lami-Suva-Nausori-Tailevu areas, Southern Bua, Cakaudrove, Eastern Macuata, Lau and Lomaiviti groups.Fine apart from afternoon or evening brief showers elsewhere. Cool at night. Outlook for Tuesday: Strong southeast winds with speeds up to 50km/hr over Yasawa and Mamanuca group, Ra-Rakiraki, Sigatoka-Korolevu, Coastal Serua-Namosi, Taveuni-Qamea and nearby smaller islands, Bua, eastern Macuata, Cikobia-Qelelevu, Cakaudrove, Kadavu, Beqa-Vatulele, Lau and Lomaiviti groups. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh southeast winds, gusty at times. Rough to very rough seas. Cloudy periods with brief showers over the Serua-Namosi, Lami-Suva-Nausori-Tailevu areas, Southern Bua, Cakaudrove, Eastern Macuata, Lau and Lomaiviti groups. Fine apart from afternoon or evening brief showers elsewhere.Cool at night. Cool at night.