TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER C13 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Feb 101926 UTC. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05F CENTRE 996HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2S 173.2E AT 101800 UTC. POSITION POOR BASED ON HR GMSGOES EIR AND VIS IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS. CYCLONE MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT 30 KNOTS. DEEP CONVECTION LIES TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST SUPPOSED LLCC. LLCC REMAINS ELONGATED AND IN A MODERATE TO HIGH SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE UPPER DIVERGENCE OVER THE SYSTEM. CYCLONIC CIRCULATIONS EXTEND UPTO 700HPA. SST IS AROUND 29 DEGREES CELSIUS. SYSTEM IS STRUGGLING TO INTENSIFY WHLIST MOVING INTO A HIGH SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH DRY AIR INTRUSION FLOWING INTO THE SYSTEM FROM THE SOUTHEAST. GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO MOVE THE SYSTEM EAST-SOUTHEASTWARDS WITH NO INTENSIFICATION. THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW TO MODERATE. DVORAK ANALYSIS BASED ON 0.3 WRAP WITH DT 2.0 WITH PT AND MET AGREEING. FT BASED ON DT THUS YIELDS T2.0/2.5/W0.5/24HRS. FORECASTS : AT 12 HRS VALID AT 110600 UTC 19.3S 176.1E MOV E AT 13 KT WITH 30 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE AT 24 HRS VALID AT 111800 UTC 19.7S 178.4E MOV E AT 13 KT WITH 30 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE OUTLOOK : AT 36 HRS VALID AT 120600 UTC 20.0S 179.8W MOV E AT 11 KT WITH 30 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE AT 48 HRS VALID AT 121800 UTC 20.1S 178.6W MOV E AT 10 KT WITH 30 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE THIS WILL BE THE LAST ISSUE FOR DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05F.